We have applied our method to two acoustic time series, a single saxophone tone, consisting of 16000 samples sampled at 32kHz and a speech signal of the word manna. The latter time series consists of 23000 samples with a sampling rate of 44.1kHz. Both time series have been normalized to stay within the interval [-1,1]. The estimation of the dimension of the underlying attractors yields a dimension of about 2-3 in both cases.
We chose the control input k(i) to be linear increasing from -0.8
to 0.8. Stable models we found for both time series using . Namely for the parameter T we observed considerable impact on
the model quality. While smaller T results in better one step
ahead prediction, the iterated model often becomes unstable. This
might be explained by the decrease in variation within the prediction
hyperplane, that has to be learned. For small T the model tends to
become linear and does not capture the nonlinear characteristics of
the system. Therefore the iteration of those models failed.
To large values of T results in an insufficient one step ahead
prediction error, which pushes the model far away from the attractor
also producing unstable behavior.